52 points (13 wins, seven losses) 109.8 per cent

The run home:
Rd 22: Carlton at the MCG
Rd 23: Richmond at the MCG

If the Bombers win next week:
- They can't finish lower than seventh and will lock in an elimination final in Melbourne.
- They can still finish as high as fifth, but will be relying on Richmond and Collingwood to each lose one of their final two games

If they lose next week:
- They can finish as low as eighth
- They can still finish fifth, but would need Richmond to suffer a shock upset against GWS on Sunday
- They can still finish sixth, but would need Collingwood to lose to West Coast at the MCG on Friday night

AFL.com.au predicted final match-up: Richmond v Essendon, first elimination final, MCG